2009-01-05 - Junk bond may be in attractive range: SPHIX is 6.19.
2009-01-05 - Volatility is over 35. Market is under stress.: ^VIX is 39.08.
2009-01-02 - USO is under 70: USO is 35.63.
2009-01-02 - Junk bond may be in attractive range: SPHIX is 6.07.
2009-01-02 - Volatility is over 35. Market is under stress.: ^VIX is 39.19.
2009-01-01 - USO is under 70: USO is 33.1.
2009-01-01 - Junk bond may be in attractive range: SPHIX is 6.04.
2009-01-01 - Sector Update: Industries changes to CONTRACTED from STRESSED.Oil Services changes to STRESSED from DEPRESSED.
2009-01-01 - Oracle is breaching 18: ORCL is 17.73.
2009-01-01 - Volatility is over 35. Market is under stress.: ^VIX is 40.0.
2008-12-31 - USO is under 70: USO is 33.1.
2008-12-31 - Junk bond may be in attractive range: SPHIX is 6.04.
2008-12-31 - Sector Update: Industries changes to CONTRACTED from STRESSED.Oil Services changes to STRESSED from DEPRESSED.
2008-12-31 - Oracle is breaching 18: ORCL is 17.73.
2008-12-31 - Volatility is over 35. Market is under stress.: ^VIX is 40.0.
2008-12-30 - USO is under 70: USO is 30.2.
2008-12-30 - Junk bond may be in attractive range: SPHIX is 6.01.
2008-12-30 - Sector Update: Financials changes to STRESSED from DEPRESSED.Technology changes to CONTRACTED from STRESSED.Consumer Discretionary changes to CONTRACTED from STRESSED.International Stock changes to CONTRACTED from STRESSED.
2008-12-30 - Oracle is breaching 18: ORCL is 17.83.
2008-12-30 - Volatility is over 35. Market is under stress.: ^VIX is 41.63.
2008-12-29 - USO is under 70: USO is 30.92.
2008-12-29 - Junk bond may be in attractive range: SPHIX is 5.93.
2008-12-29 - Sector Update: Energy changes to CONTRACTED from STRESSED.Utilities changes to DECLINED from CONTRACTED.
2008-12-29 - Oracle is breaching 18: ORCL is 17.22.
2008-12-29 - Volatility is over 35. Market is under stress.: ^VIX is 43.9.
2008-12-26 - USO is under 70: USO is 29.1.
2008-12-26 - Junk bond may be in attractive range: SPHIX is 5.87.
2008-12-26 - Oracle is breaching 18: ORCL is 17.43.
2008-12-26 - Volatility is over 35. Market is under stress.: ^VIX is 43.38.
2008-12-26 - Junk bond yield is over 10%: HYG is 73.9.
2008-12-25 - USO is under 70: USO is 29.02.
2008-12-25 - Junk bond may be in attractive range: SPHIX is 5.87.
2008-12-25 - Oracle is breaching 18: ORCL is 17.32.
2008-12-25 - Volatility is over 35. Market is under stress.: ^VIX is 44.21.
2008-12-25 - Junk bond yield is over 10%: HYG is 73.9.
2008-12-24 - USO is under 70: USO is 29.02.
2008-12-24 - Junk bond may be in attractive range: SPHIX is 5.87.
2008-12-24 - Oracle is breaching 18: ORCL is 17.32.
2008-12-24 - Volatility is over 35. Market is under stress.: ^VIX is 44.21.
2008-12-24 - Junk bond yield is over 10%: HYG is 73.9.
2008-12-23 - USO is under 70: USO is 30.0.
| Rank | Folk | Average Return* | Since | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben | 14.13% | 2008-12-05 | Show Details |
| 2 | Roger Nusbaum | -13.38% | 2008-09-30 | Show Details |
| 3 | Doug | -15.43% | 2008-09-14 | Show Details |
| 4 | Charlie | -19.95% | 2008-09-11 | Show Details |
| 5 | roger | -23.27% | 2008-09-17 | Show Details |
| 6 | Zhao | -23.34% | 2008-06-05 | Show Details |
| 7 | Brian | -23.75% | 2008-06-24 | Show Details |
| 8 | Trend Follower | -29.99% | 2008-07-03 | Show Details |
| 9 | Phil | -30.83% | 2008-06-10 | Show Details |
| 10 | Lindt | -32.97% | 2008-05-08 | Show Details |
| 11 | New Era | -44.82% | 2008-06-23 | Show Details |
| 12 | Lewis Ho | -47.41% | 2008-05-27 | Show Details |
| 13 | Lucky Star | -54.03% | 2008-06-11 | Show Details |
* Average return is calculated based on the average of all the returns of stocks in the list. Each return is determined between the first trading date after the recommendation and the date of the removal or the last trading date, which ever comes earlier. The average return is not updated when trading is in session.
Market Commentary (2008-12-09)
It is great to see the market recovers from its recent low (DOW reached 7500 on Nov 20). It is more than 20% from the bottom. Anyone who jumped in at the bottom can celebrates now. However, this is most likely to be a bear market rally. In other words, it is dropping too fast and deserves a technically rebound. Regardless how spectacular the rebound is, it is doomed to drop again. For the market to fully recover, two things have to happen with rally, 1) trading volume should increase significantly as people realize it is time to buy. 2) Junk bond needs to have a rally as well as investor see less risk as economy recover in future. Neither of them is happening this time. It is more likely than not that market is going to test bottom again. probably in a month time. Meanwhile, we shall enjoy this rally and sell into it if you have winners or losers (to offset your capital gain if any). Otherwise, get ready for another dive.
Should you ever follow analysts' recommendations? If you do, you may more than double your money in less a month or lose 40% of your money in the same period. How do you increase your chances that the former will happen rather than the latter? The key is to tell the good analysts apart from the bad ones. That is exactly what the firm/analyst ranking provides you. It keeps track of the performance of the analyst/firm's recommendation and their performance. Armed with this piece of information, you can make your smart choices.
Recent recommendations by top ranking firms| Symbol | Recommended Date | Recommended By | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NETC | 2008-12-30 | Wunderlich | More Picks |
| YUM | 2008-12-30 | Argus | More Picks |
| JEC | 2008-12-29 | Standpoint | More Picks |
| LGCY | 2008-12-25 | Wunderlich | More Picks |
| FNF | 2008-12-22 | Barclays Capital | More Picks |
| CYN | 2008-12-18 | Keefe Bruyette | More Picks |
| STLD | 2008-12-18 | Barclays Capital | More Picks |
| ERES | 2008-12-17 | Auriga U.S.A | More Picks |
| TLAB | 2008-12-15 | Barclays Capital | More Picks |
| CIG | 2008-12-15 | Standpoint | More Picks |
| TSCO | 2008-12-11 | Argus | More Picks |
| RAME | 2008-12-11 | Wunderlich | More Picks |
| ROSE | 2008-12-11 | Wunderlich | More Picks |
| T | 2008-12-10 | Friedman Billings | More Picks |
| VZ | 2008-12-10 | Friedman Billings | More Picks |
Fund Watch :
Commodity investment has become a fashion recently with oil prices setting records every day. There are several funds that can be used to invest in commodity for average investors. One of them is PIMCO Commodity Real Return. This fund tracks broad range of commodities ranging from iron to wheat. Investment in such fund can be a way to hedge inflation.
However, in long run, commodity investment is inferior to equity. Right now, with surging demand from developing countries such as India and China, commodity shortage will persist for a while until supply ramps up or the replacement is found. Commodity price increase will stay here with us for a while.